N25.4 Variables and data tables
ED Decision 2009/010/R
The following data must be used when conducting a flammability exposure
analysis to determine the fleet average flammability exposure. Variables used
to calculate fleet flammability exposure must include atmospheric ambient
temperatures, flight length, flammability exposure evaluation time, fuel flash
point, thermal characteristics of the fuel tank, overnight temperature drop,
and oxygen evolution from the fuel into the ullage.
(a) Atmospheric
Ambient Temperatures and Fuel Properties.
(1) In order
to predict flammability exposure during a given flight, the variation of
ground ambient temperatures, cruise ambient temperatures, and a method to
compute the transition from ground to cruise and back again must be used. The
variation of the ground and cruise ambient temperatures and the flash point of
the fuel is defined by a Gaussian curve, given by the 50 percent value and a ±
1-standard deviation value.
(2) Ambient
Temperature: Under the program, the ground and cruise ambient temperatures are
linked by a set of assumptions on the atmosphere. The temperature varies with altitude
following the International Standard Atmosphere (ISA) rate of change from the
ground ambient temperature until the cruise temperature for the flight is
reached. Above this altitude, the
ambient temperature is fixed at the cruise ambient temperature. This results
in a variation in the upper atmospheric temperature. For cold days, an inversion is applied up to
10,000 feet, and then the ISA rate of change is used.
(3) Fuel properties:
(i) For Jet
A and Jet A-1 fuel, the variation of flash point of the fuel is defined by a
Gaussian curve, given by the 50 percent value and a ± 1-standard
deviation, as shown in Table 1.
(ii) The
flammability envelope of the fuel that must be used for the flammability
exposure analysis is a function of the flash point of the fuel selected by the
Monte Carlo for a given flight. The
flammability envelope for the fuel is defined by the upper flammability limit
(UFL) and lower flammability limit (LFL) as follows:
(A) LFL
at sea level = flash point temperature of the fuel at sea level minus 5.5°C
(10°F). LFL
decreases from sea level value with increasing altitude at a rate of 0.55 °C
(1oF) per 808 feet.
(B) UFL
at sea level = flash point temperature of the fuel at sea level plus 19.5°C
(63.5oF). UFL decreases from the sea level value with increasing
altitude at a rate of 0.55°C (1oF) per 512 feet.
(4) For each flight analyzed, a separate random
number must be generated for each of the three parameters (ground ambient
temperature, cruise ambient temperature, and fuel flash point) using the
Gaussian distribution defined in Table 1.
Table 1.
Gaussian Distribution for Ground Ambient Temperature, Cruise Ambient
Temperature, and Fuel Flash Point
|
|
Temperature in
Deg C/Deg F |
||
|
Parameter |
Ground Ambient
Temperature. |
Cruise ambient
Temperature. |
Fuel Flash
Point (FP) |
|
Mean Temp |
15.53/59.95 |
_ -56.67/ -70 |
48.89/ 120 |
|
Neg 1 std dev |
11.18/ 20.14 |
4.4/ 8 |
4.4/ 8 |
|
Pos 1 std dev |
9.6/ 17.28 |
4.4/ 8 |
4.4/8 |
(b) The
Flight Length Distribution defined in Table 2 must be used in the Monte Carlo
analysis.
Table 2.
Flight Length Distribution
|
|
Aeroplane Maximum Range
– Nautical Miles (NM) |
||||||||||
|
1000 |
2000 |
3000 |
4000 |
5000 |
6000 |
7000 |
8000 |
9000 |
10000 |
||
|
Flight Length (NM) |
Distribution of flight
lengths (Percentage of total) |
||||||||||
|
From |
To |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
200 |
11.7 |
7.5 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
|
200 |
400 |
27.3 |
19.9 |
17.0 |
15.2 |
13.2 |
11.4 |
9.7 |
8.5 |
7.5 |
6.7 |
|
400 |
600 |
46.3 |
40.0 |
35.7 |
32.6 |
28.5 |
24.9 |
21.2 |
18.7 |
16.4 |
14.8 |
|
600 |
800 |
10.3 |
11.6 |
11.0 |
10.2 |
9.1 |
8.0 |
6.9 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
4.8 |
|
800 |
1000 |
4.4 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
8.2 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
|
1000 |
1200 |
0.0 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
|
1200 |
1400 |
0.0 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
|
1400 |
1600 |
0.0 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
|
1600 |
1800 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
|
1800 |
2000 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
|
2000 |
2200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
|
2200 |
2400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
|
2400 |
2600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
2600 |
2800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
|
2800 |
3000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
3000 |
3200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
3200 |
3400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
3400 |
3600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
|
3600 |
3800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
|
3800 |
4000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
|
4000 |
4200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
|
4200 |
4400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
|
4400 |
4600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
|
4600 |
4800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
4800 |
5000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
5000 |
5200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
5200 |
5400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
|
5400 |
5600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
|
5600 |
5800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
|
5800 |
6000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
|
6000 |
6200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
6200 |
6400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
|
6400 |
6600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
|
6600 |
6800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
|
6800 |
7000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
|
7000 |
7200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
|
7200 |
7400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
7400 |
7600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
7600 |
7800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
7800 |
8000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
|
8000 |
8200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
|
8200 |
8400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
|
8400 |
8600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
|
8600 |
8800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
|
8800 |
9000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
|
9000 |
9200 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
|
9200 |
9400 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
|
9400 |
9600 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
9600 |
9800 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
9800 |
10000 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
(c) Overnight
Temperature Drop. For aeroplanes on which FRM is installed, the overnight
temperature drop for this appendix is defined using:
(1) A
temperature at the beginning of the overnight period that equals the landing
temperature of the previous flight that is a random value based on a Gaussian
distribution; and
(2) An
overnight temperature drop that is a random value based on a Gaussian
distribution.
(3) For any
flight that will end with an overnight ground period (one flight per day out
of an average of number of flights per
day, depending on utilization of the particular aeroplane model being
evaluated), the landing outside air temperature (OAT) is to be chosen as a
random value from the following Gaussian curve:
Table
3. Landing Outside Air Temperature
|
Parameter |
Landing Outside Air
Temperature °C/ °F |
|
Mean Temperature |
14.82/ 58.68 |
|
negative 1 std dev |
11.41/ 20.55 |
|
positive 1 std dev |
7.34/ 13.21 |
(4) The
outside ambient air temperature (OAT) overnight temperature drop is to be
chosen as a random value from the following Gaussian curve:
Table
4. Outside Air Temperature (OAT) Drop
|
Parameter |
OAT Drop Temperature °C/
°F |
|
Mean Temp |
-11.11/ 12.0 |
|
1 std dev |
3.3/ 6.0 |
(d) Number
of Simulated Flights Required in Analysis.
In order for the Monte Carlo analysis to be valid for showing
compliance with the fleet average and warm day flammability exposure
requirements, the applicant must run the analysis for a minimum number of
flights to ensure that the fleet average and warm day flammability exposure
for the fuel tank under evaluation meets the applicable flammability limits
defined in Table 5.
Table
5. Flammability Exposure Limit
|
Minimum Number of
Flights in Monte Carlo Analysis |
Maximum Acceptable Monte
Carlo Average Fuel Tank Flammability Exposure (%) to meet 3% requirements |
Maximum Acceptable Monte
Carlo Average Fuel Tank Flammability Exposure (%) to meet 7% requirements |
|
10,000 |
2.91 |
6.79 |
|
100,000 |
2.98 |
6.96 |
|
1,000,000 |
3.00 |
7.00 |
[Amdt 25/6]
EASA aviation regulations require flammability exposure analysis for large aeroplanes. This analysis uses variables like ambient temperatures, flight length, fuel properties, and overnight temperature drop. Monte Carlo simulations, with a minimum number of flights, ensure compliance with flammability exposure limits, using Gaussian distributions for temperature and fuel flashpoint.
* Summary by Aviation.Bot - Always consult the original document for the most accurate information.
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