Navigate / EASA

N25.4 Variables and data tables 

ED Decision 2009/010/R

The following data must be used when conducting a flammability exposure analysis to determine the fleet average flammability exposure. Variables used to calculate fleet flammability exposure must include atmospheric ambient temperatures, flight length, flammability exposure evaluation time, fuel flash point, thermal characteristics of the fuel tank, overnight temperature drop, and oxygen evolution from the fuel into the ullage. 

(a)      Atmospheric Ambient Temperatures and Fuel Properties.

(1)      In order to predict flammability exposure during a given flight, the variation of ground ambient temperatures, cruise ambient temperatures, and a method to compute the transition from ground to cruise and back again must be used. The variation of the ground and cruise ambient temperatures and the flash point of the fuel is defined by a Gaussian curve, given by the 50 percent value and a ± 1-standard deviation value.

(2)      Ambient Temperature: Under the program, the ground and cruise ambient temperatures are linked by a set of assumptions on the atmosphere.  The temperature varies with altitude following the International Standard Atmosphere (ISA) rate of change from the ground ambient temperature until the cruise temperature for the flight is reached.  Above this altitude, the ambient temperature is fixed at the cruise ambient temperature. This results in a variation in the upper atmospheric temperature.  For cold days, an inversion is applied up to 10,000 feet, and then the ISA rate of change is used. 

(3)      Fuel properties: 

(i)       For Jet A and Jet A-1 fuel, the variation of flash point of the fuel is defined by a Gaussian curve, given by the 50 percent value and a ± 1-standard deviation, as shown in Table 1.

(ii)     The flammability envelope of the fuel that must be used for the flammability exposure analysis is a function of the flash point of the fuel selected by the Monte Carlo for a given flight.  The flammability envelope for the fuel is defined by the upper flammability limit (UFL) and lower flammability limit (LFL) as follows:

(A)     LFL at sea level = flash point temperature of the fuel at sea level minus 5.5°C (10°F). LFL decreases from sea level value with increasing altitude at a rate of 0.55 °C (1oF) per 808 feet.

(B)     UFL at sea level = flash point temperature of the fuel at sea level plus 19.5°C (63.5oF). UFL decreases from the sea level value with increasing altitude at a rate of 0.55°C (1oF) per 512 feet.

(4)      For each flight analyzed, a separate random number must be generated for each of the three parameters (ground ambient temperature, cruise ambient temperature, and fuel flash point) using the Gaussian distribution defined in Table 1.

Table 1. Gaussian Distribution for Ground Ambient Temperature, Cruise Ambient Temperature, and Fuel Flash Point

 

Temperature in Deg C/Deg F

Parameter

Ground Ambient Temperature.

Cruise ambient Temperature.

Fuel Flash Point (FP)

Mean Temp

15.53/59.95

_ -56.67/ -70

48.89/ 120

Neg 1 std dev

11.18/ 20.14

4.4/ 8

4.4/ 8

Pos 1 std dev

9.6/ 17.28

4.4/ 8

4.4/8

 

(b)     The Flight Length Distribution defined in Table 2 must be used in the Monte Carlo analysis.

Table 2. Flight Length Distribution

 

Aeroplane Maximum Range – Nautical Miles (NM)

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

Flight Length (NM)

Distribution of flight lengths (Percentage of total)

From

To

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

200

11.7

7.5

6.2

5.5

4.7

4.0

3.4

3.0

2.6

  2.3

200

400

27.3

19.9

17.0

15.2

13.2

11.4

9.7

8.5

7.5

  6.7

400

600

46.3

40.0

35.7

32.6

28.5

24.9

21.2

18.7

16.4

  14.8

600

800

10.3

11.6

11.0

10.2

9.1

8.0

6.9

6.1

5.4

  4.8

800

1000

4.4

8.5

8.6

8.2

7.4

6.6

5.7

5.0

4.5

  4.0

1000

1200

0.0

4.8

5.3

5.3

4.8

4.3

3.8

3.3

3.0

  2.7

1200

1400

0.0

3.6

4.4

4.5

4.2

3.8

3.3

3.0

2.7

  2.4

1400

1600

0.0

2.2

3.3

3.5

3.3

3.1

2.7

2.4

2.2

  2.0

1600

1800

0.0

1.2

2.3

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.1

1.9

1.7

  1.6

1800

2000

0.0

0.7

2.2

2.6

2.6

2.5

2.2

2.0

1.8

  1.7

2000

2200

0.0

0.0

1.6

2.1

2.2

2.1

1.9

1.7

1.6

  1.4

2200

2400

0.0

0.0

1.1

1.6

1.7

1.7

1.6

1.4

1.3

  1.2

2400

2600

0.0

0.0

0.7

1.2

1.4

1.4

1.3

1.2

1.1

  1.0

2600

2800

0.0

0.0

0.4

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.0

0.9

0.9

  0.8

2800

3000

0.0

0.0

0.2

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.7

0.7

0.6

  0.6

3000

3200

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.6

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.7

  0.7

3200

3400

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.7

1.1

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

  1.0

3400

3600

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.7

1.3

1.6

1.6

1.5

1.5

  1.4

3600

3800

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.9

2.2

2.7

2.8

2.7

2.6

  2.5

3800

4000

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.5

2.0

2.6

2.8

2.8

2.7

  2.6

4000

4200

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2.1

3.0

3.2

3.3

3.2

  3.1

4200

4400

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.4

2.2

2.5

2.6

2.6

  2.5

4400

4600

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

2.3

2.5

2.5

  2.4

4600

4800

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.6

1.5

1.8

2.0

2.0

  2.0

4800

5000

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.2

1.0

1.4

1.5

1.6

  1.5

5000

5200

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.8

1.1

1.3

1.3

  1.3

5200

5400

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.8

1.2

1.5

1.6

  1.6

5400

5600

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.9

1.7

2.1

2.2

  2.3

5600

5800

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.6

1.6

2.2

2.4

  2.5

5800

6000

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.2

1.8

2.4

2.8

  2.9

6000

6200

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.7

2.6

3.1

  3.3

6200

6400

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.4

2.4

2.9

  3.1

6400

6600

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.9

1.8

2.2

  2.5

6600

6800

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.5

1.2

1.6

  1.9

6800

7000

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.2

0.8

1.1

  1.3

7000

7200

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.4

0.7

  0.8

7200

7400

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.3

0.5

  0.7

7400

7600

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.2

0.5

  0.6

7600

7800

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.5

  0.7

7800

8000

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.6

  0.8

8000

8200

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.5

  0.8

8200

8400

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.5

  1.0

8400

8600

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.6

  1.3

8600

8800

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.4

  1.1

8800

9000

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.2

  0.8

9000

9200

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

  0.5

9200

9400

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

  0.2

9400

9600

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

  0.1

9600

9800

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

  0.1

9800

10000

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

  0.1

 

(c)      Overnight Temperature Drop. For aeroplanes on which FRM is installed, the overnight temperature drop for this appendix is defined using:

(1)      A temperature at the beginning of the overnight period that equals the landing temperature of the previous flight that is a random value based on a Gaussian distribution; and

(2)      An overnight temperature drop that is a random value based on a Gaussian distribution.

(3)      For any flight that will end with an overnight ground period (one flight per day out of an average of number of  flights per day, depending on utilization of the particular aeroplane model being evaluated), the landing outside air temperature (OAT) is to be chosen as a random value from the following Gaussian curve:

Table 3. Landing Outside Air Temperature

Parameter

Landing Outside Air Temperature °C/ °F

Mean Temperature

14.82/ 58.68

negative 1 std dev

11.41/ 20.55

positive 1 std dev

7.34/ 13.21

 

(4)     The outside ambient air temperature (OAT) overnight temperature drop is to be chosen as a random value from the following Gaussian curve:

Table 4. Outside Air Temperature (OAT) Drop

Parameter

OAT Drop Temperature °C/ °F

Mean Temp

-11.11/ 12.0

1 std dev

3.3/ 6.0

 

(d)     Number of Simulated Flights Required in Analysis.  In order for the Monte Carlo analysis to be valid for showing compliance with the fleet average and warm day flammability exposure requirements, the applicant must run the analysis for a minimum number of flights to ensure that the fleet average and warm day flammability exposure for the fuel tank under evaluation meets the applicable flammability limits defined in Table 5.

Table 5. Flammability Exposure Limit

Minimum Number of Flights in Monte Carlo Analysis

Maximum Acceptable Monte Carlo Average Fuel Tank Flammability Exposure (%) to meet 3% requirements

Maximum Acceptable Monte Carlo Average Fuel Tank Flammability Exposure (%) to meet 7% requirements

10,000

2.91

6.79

100,000

2.98

6.96

1,000,000

3.00

7.00

 

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